Orem Owlz: 33 wins, 31 losses
Orem went 14 and 7 to start the second half, riding a trio of hot college bats, and looked like a good bet to take the division crown. They've dropped the last five straight, however, four of them by just one run, and will have to fight to keep Casper at bay over the coming weeks. Even a second place finish should earn playoff spot.
Brandon Decker, 1B - (49 AB's) .441/.522/.932 with 5 dbl, 8 HR, 24 RBI, 13 K/5 BB
The Angels' 2010, 27th round pick is the latest incarnation of an annual Owlz narrative: a solid college hitter who acquires, temporarily, Pujols-like powers upon entering the Pioneer League. Decker is a big strong guy who's tied for second in the league in HR's, despite having played 14 fewer games than the league leader. At 22, he's on the older end of the Pioneer League spectrum, and his plate discipline doesn't look as polished as, say, Dillon Baird's and Carlos Ramirez' did last year. He played mostly left field at Valdosta State, but the Owlz are using him exclusively at first. The questions with him will be whether he has the bat speed to hit quality pitching and the athleticism to provide some defensive versatility.
Andrew Heid, CF - (88 AB's) .371/.438/.533 with 5 dbl, 4 HR, 2 SB, 13 K/13 BB
Heid has been Orem's best all-around player this year. He's a capable outfielder and excels at working the count, walking in 10% of his plate appearances while striking out only 12% of the time. He's hitting for more power than you'd expect from a leadoff type. On the other hand, he struggled to steal bases at a high success rate in college, and that trend carried over into the pros, where he's posted only a 67% success rate. As a senior, Heid was a very safe (and unexpected) pick in the ninth round. So far, he's rewarded the Halos with his bat, thumbing his nose at the thirty other organizations that passed him over in the 2009 and 2010 drafts.
Brian Diemer, rhrp - (9 appearances) 14.1 IP, 9 hits, 1.88 ERA, 18 K/5 BB
The Angels picked up Diemer in the sixth round of this year's draft. The 6'5", 240 lb UC Berkeley alum looks the part of power pitcher, but a shoulder injury limited his innings, velocity, and command in college (info courtesy of Andy Sellers' mlbbonusbaby 2010 draft guide). After using 7 of their first 10 picks on prep players, Diemer was likely seen as a highly signable college pick, but further recovery from surgery gives the Halos a shot at upside.

Bryant George, rhrp - (8 appearances) 1 W, 15 IP, 11 hits, 1.20 ERA, 19 K/6 BB
George is yet another older college pick (he's 22) whom the Angels scooped up relatively early in the draft. He's really undersized for a righty, weighing in at 5'10", 178 lbs, but he's put up the best numbers of any 2010 Orem reliever this side of Dan Tillman. I'm looking forward to seeing a scouting report on his stuff.
AZL Angels: 24 wins, 31 losses
Obviously it's been a disappointing season for the AZL Angels, seeing as the Halos drafted and signed seven prep players in the first three rounds. Trout and Grichuk made things look so easy last year...
Suammy Baez, rhsp - 2 W, 32 IP, 24 hits, 1.13 ERA, 33 K/8 BB
Until a promotion to Cedar Rapids last week, Baez was the AZL Halos' front line starter. He's almost 22 years old, so while his numbers were certainly good for Arizona they were by no means spectacular given his age. His K rates over four years of rookie ball generally hovered around one per inning and he's shown above average control most of the time, but he's always been hittable. His first outing with Cedar Rapids was a good one: he picked up the pieces after Kehrer hit a wall in the fourth inning on Saturday night.
Joe Melioris, rhrp - 2 W, 30.1 IP, 33 hits, 3.56 ERA, 25 K/2 BB
I have a really good feeling about this guy. He's K'd almost a batter an inning and he keeps the walks to a minimum (48 K/5 BB in 49.2 IP). He's 6'10", 240 lbs, which makes his good control all the more encouraging because generally guys that big have difficulty maintaining their mechanics and throwing strikes. He has a good groundball rate (49%) and an outstanding pop-up rate (21%), so hitters are having a tough time squaring him up. His stuff may not be overpowering right now, but there's the age, the size and the command to hint at upside down the road.
Taylor Lindsey, 2B - (83 AB's) .289/.333/.434 with 6 dbl, 3 trpl, 11 K/6 BB
Here he is, the AZL Angels' big bat. Poor production from early round prep picks will result in some gnashing of teeth this offseason, but it's not entirely unexpected. The Angels have a fundamental organizational belief that they can build baseball players out of first round tools and good makeup, regardless of a prep draftee's polish. The closest comp to the 2010 group that I can think of is the Halos' 2005 class: toolsey prep draftees PJ Phillips, Ryan Mount, Jeremy Moore, and Peter Bourjos who boiled down to big leaguers in Bourjos and possibly Jeremy Moore. None of those guys mashed in the AZL, but two eventually learned to hit the best pitching the minor leagues has to offer. The 2010 group -- Clarke, Lindsey, Bolden, Soto, Sneed and Bolaski -- will yield major leaguers as well, though it's impossible to guess which guys will make it (Cowart's barely had 20 pro AB's, so I'm not lumping him in to this group yet).
DSL Angels: 37 wins, 28 losses (finished second in the league... 5 games behind the DSL Rangers)
Erick Salcedo, SS - (39 AB's) .308/.400/.462 with 2 dbl, 2 trpl, 10 K/6 BB
Salcedo just turned 17 and has some projection left on his 5'10", 155 lb frame. He struggled to get things going in June and July, but obviously the bat came around this month, showing flashes of patience and pop. He's committed 4 errors in 29 games, which isn't great, but also isn't terrible for a 17 year old shortstop. I know nothing else about him, but he sure looks like a guy to keep an eye on.
Jean Santiago, lhsp - (3 starts) 1 W, 22.2 IP, 16 hits, 1.99 ERA, 19 K/7 BB
Every time we take a look at the DSL squad, Santiago and the guy below pop up. He's a slightly built, 19 year old lefty with strong but not overpowering ratios (58 hits, 71 K/19 BB in 74 innings). I'm very interested to see how he does when he comes stateside.
Eswarlin Jimenez, lhsp - (3 starts) 1 W, 27 IP, 26 hits, 2.67 ERA, 29 K/5 BB
Jimenez is a little taller and half a year younger than Santiago, and has slightly more impressive ratios (72 hits, 85 K/20 BB in 82.2 innings). He's still technically 18, and we should see him pitching stateside next year.
Ismael Dionicio, 2B - (51 AB's) .392/.446/.451 with 1 dbl, 1 trpl, 9 K/5 BB
Dionicio is older than Salcedo, but is a similarly built, switch-hitting middle infielder (the Angels do have a type). He's 19, so is a little further along on the development curve and has yet to show much pop or the ability to square up lefties.
0 recs | 26 comments
Thank you
…for posting this information. Not only does your work reflect astute insight and analysis, it prevents us all from having to read more about the Halo’s embarrassing loses to far “superior” teams like the Orioles.
Keep up the outstanding work!
mustard_man - August 29, 2010
your writings are the highlight of HH
rgan you do outstanding work!
Blaze453 - August 29, 2010
6'10?????
Thats a big dude.
norcaliangelsfan - August 29, 2010
Is this a good place to mention
that Alexi Amarista is taking to AAA pitching quite nicely?
wumbug - August 29, 2010
Of course, at this time of year
one could reasonably speculate that most of the “good” AAA pitching in already on the big clubs’ rosters.
wumbug - August 29, 2010
It's a good point to make.
There’s no easier place to hit in the minors than the PCL in the late, hot months. It exaggerates everything — and as Angel fans, we should know this like our blood at this point.
Nonetheless, Amarista’s emergence suggests we should consider trading one of Callaspo or Kendrick in the offseason — if we can get solid return.
Turks Teeth - August 29, 2010
Amarista has a .768 OPS across 3 different levels this season, I'm not sure that's the kind of performance that a team trades an established player to make room for.
~MMP~ - August 29, 2010
Howie has been pretty disappointing this season, but I’m not convinced Amarista would be any better
~MMP~ - August 29, 2010
I'm convinced that Amarista would probably be similar
Similar batting average, but better defense. Less doubles, but better OBP and more SB. But the biggest difference, is Howie’s age and cost. Alexi can do it at age 21/22 at 400k.
Halowood - August 29, 2010
I'm not going to judge a 21 yr old second baseman by OPS.
Especially given how many of those plate appearances were in Dickey Stephens Park.
If I’m going to trade, I’m going to trade players with some perceived value from an area of strength. We have five suitable second basemen at the moment in Kendrick, Callaspo, Izturis, Frandsen and Amarista.
Of course I’m going to trade Kendrick or Callaspo and their multimillion dollar contracts first. They both have an identical OPS of .729 — so “established player” is more a matter of raw history than a value statement.
Turks Teeth - August 29, 2010
I completely blanked on the Dickey Stephens Park effect on Amarista's numbers, my bad.
And I see what you’re saying about 2nd basemen being an area of strength.
~MMP~ - August 29, 2010
All that said, Amarista could be another Amezaga when he hits the Bigs.
I agree with you. We just don’t know.
But given our depth at the position, it would take a multiple injuries to even see him tested as an everyday player at this point.
Turks Teeth - August 29, 2010
Alas, something we can agree on.
I feel like trading Kendrick wouldn’t be a bad thing. He has decent perceived value, and we have options that can play 2B. I wouldn’t trade Callaspo because I don’t feel as confident in our depth at 3B.
Halowood - August 29, 2010
Amadeus Amadeus
i think we have some batting music from the 1980s for this kid
Rev Halofan - August 29, 2010
Both Kendrick and Callaspo are still relatively cheap.
Kendrick & Callaspo, $1.6MM & $.460MM
I haven’t given up yet on Kendrick’s becoming what was advertised.
wumbug - August 29, 2010
Izturis is the one getting expensive.
wumbug - August 29, 2010
That 2005 group really doesn't give a lot of hope for the 2010 crop.
I’m optimistic that Jeremy Moore becomes Juan Rivera off the bench, and hope to hell that Bourjos will eventually learn to hit. But to wait six years to develop Erstad-lite and a fourth outfielder is a tough sell.
2010 was the best opportunity Bane has been given in half a decade, and early returns should spook the horses. Still not sure why he didn’t go for safer selections — Cox, Biddle, Castellanos. This is a raw, raw group — with no surprising talents out of the gate. It’s pure risk.
Comparing 2010 to 2005 only amplifies that — though the Halos only had one pick among the top 40 in ’05. Not a single impact hitter has yet to emerge from our ’05 group six years later.
With the 2009 group, the talent impact was obvious within two months. It’s a shame we traded away two of the five highlights within a year.
Again, great work as always, rghan.
Turks Teeth - August 29, 2010
I'm not sure where you get Moore being Rivera
He hasn’t displayed Rivera’s power at any level, nor his BA. He’s also significantly more gifted defensively and on the base paths. I think Terry Evans makes a better comp. Solid power, but not overwhelming, can hit for average, but overly impressive. Decent gap power, decent speed, solid defense. A trustworthy 4th OF.
I’m still holding out hope that Lindsay emerges as a 2B with power and athletecism like Sean Rodriguez and Cowart develops into the corner infield bat this system needs. Of all our prospects, I like Chevy Clarke’s toolset the best, I think he could be Matt Kemp. This class of new prospects also reminds me that last year, we were very spoiled by an incredibly strong draft. Finding Trout, Grichuk, Skaggs, Richards and Corbin early was amazing and I think we sort of knew it. This year was not a very good draft class.
In reference to your hope that Peter Bourjos hits, he’s not over matched at all, and has come up with timely hits and sacrifices. His ability in the OF and his short compact swing indicate that he will be much more than a defensive specialist or 4th OF. I think he is already.
Halowood - August 29, 2010
I didn't say Moore *is* Rivera.
I said that I’m hopeful he can become a Rivera. I also called him a fourth OF, so you’re not even disagreeing with me here.
Rivera’s career minor league SLG is .485. At age 22, cumulatively through AA, it was .457. Until he hit AAA, Rivera averaged 14 HRs a season.
Cumulatively, Moore’s SLG through AA is .460. His AA SLG through two seasons is .489. He’s averaging 14 HRs a season. He just turned 23 this summer.
These players, relative to level and age, have almost identical power. The power Moore is showing in an extreme pitcher’s park like Dickey Stephens suggests that he is primed to have a breakout power year in the PCL, similar to the one Rivera had at AAA at age 23. The players are more similar than you think — people forget that when Rivera was younger, he was considered a plus defender in the OF. At age 22 he had 21 assists and plus range in a single season.
Terry Evans will be 29 going into next season. Jeremy Moore will be 23. They’re really not that similar, outside of profiling as fourth outfielders. Moore has considerably more upside than Terry Evans, who is currently struggling with a .732 OPS in one of the three best hitter’s parks in all of professional baseball. Evans is also not a plus defender. Total Zone has him with -9 runs below baseline for 2009.
Turks Teeth - August 29, 2010
So you believe that Moore will more closely resemble Rivera than Evans?
Question, do you only look at stats or have you seen these guys play? Mostly because, Evans is a very good defender. Yeah that -9 is ugly, but I’ve watched him play quite a few times, his power is real, he has very good range and a very strong arm. Maybe you’ve seen him and believe otherwise or you’re just going off stats.
I’ve also watched Moore play a couple times, and Rivera. Maybe it’s because I haven’t seen him this season, but I really didn’t see any of the power that suggests he could become an OF in the major leagues that will hit 25 bombs a year. And if Moore was that type of hitter, he certainly wouldn’t be a 4th OF, not with his defense and skill set, we both agree that his ceiling is considerably high.
Also, about Amarista, AAA tends to inflate the power numbers of hitters, it should have little effect of what Amarista does. From what I hear sliders don’t break as much because of the conditions, but I’m not sure if there’s any proof on that. I don’t think for a second that Amarista will continue to bat .500 in AAA, but I don’t think him hitting .300 in AAA SLC would be a fluke at all. He’s a very good baseball player.
Halowood - August 29, 2010
I've seen many of our players play, at Arizona and Rancho.
Never had the luxury of visiting Arkansas. I’ve seen plenty of Terry Evans because I go to Spring Training almost every year, and he’s been a fixture with the Angels for many seasons.
I think you should be more skeptical of your eyes, and see more games outside of the Angels franchise. Scouts don’t think Evans is a plus defender, the stats say he’s a consistently below-average defender (he’s had negative TotalZone numbers every season since 2004), rghan doesn’t consider him a plus defender, and my eyes don’t say he’s anything but average. Plus, at 29, an average defender who is struggling to hit in a launching pad just doesn’t have a lot of value. Then add a very crucial detail: Evans is right-handed, and Moore is a lefty. (Which is why some have comped him with another late developer, Garret Anderson, who never hit more than 12 HRs in a year in the minor leagues).
If you read Ryan’s assessment of Moore, linked above, I think we can agree that he’s exceeded even the most optimistic scenarios we could have put forth this season. Since the ASB, in over 200 plate appearances, he’s maintained a .984 OPS, despite hitting in one of the worst hitter’s parks around. His park is so challenging, the Major League estimations have him as a .250 hitter if he were to step into Anaheim today. He’s also hit decently against both righties and lefties, which is rare (though he’s been crushing RHP).
What Moore has done this season is simply extraordinary — he wasn’t even on the Top 30 list assembled in the offseason. But I’d easily place him among our top 10 prospects next time we assemble that list, even conceding that he still has plate discipline issues and some baserunning challenges. I mean — a left-handed bat with speed, power and plus defense, and no extreme platoon splits? And a young 23 at that?
As for Amarista, I don’t think I’m dogging him here. Though not the same player, I expect him to prove roughly equivalent in value to Kendrick or Callaspo if he reaches his potential. But that doesn’t have me doing cartwheels. It’s more of what we’ve already got.
Turks Teeth - August 29, 2010
Top 10? Really!
I would no doubt consider him among the top 20, but top 10…..
I just can’t imagine a 4th OF being in our top 10.
Halowood - August 30, 2010
God our farm system, drafting priorities, hate for power hitters, and love for light hitting MI types
suck major ass and make me want to go punch babies.
PhiSlamma - August 29, 2010
MOAR POWAH~~
norcaliangelsfan - August 29, 2010
Great write
I was curious what has Kaleb Cowart done in his limited at bats?
angelsownredsux - August 30, 2010
Not much
3 for 21 with no extra base hits, no walks, and 6 K’s. But again, that’s just 21 AB’s.
rghan - August 30, 2010
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