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Lunch Thread: Lackeytime

7:05 PM Tonight at the Big A sees JASON VARGAS face JOHN LACKEY.

So for lunch, let's talk about Lackey. If he can lead the way to a playoff run yet again, c'mon you want to spend a decade watching guys with names like Tyler lead this club? Lackey has been the aceiest ace we have had in a pretty long running round of poker. Seriously, what will his market be and will the Angels even get in the bidding thie Winter? Should they?

0 recs  |  31 comments

Comments

$20M per year is his market. Yes, they should get in on it.

Ok, even if we have to go with a guy named Tyler, we could just call him “Ty” for short. Heck, when he wins a Cy Young award, we will call it a “Ty” Young award.

There is no way he is a $20 million arm...

In this market, $15 million is closer, and the number of years shouldn’t go beyond 4.

Should they bid on him? Only if he proves he is healthy this year. No more missed starts, no more tendinitis – just outs and a low ERA.

And he should refrain from talking – he is one goofy Mo-Fo.

I love Lack.....he's the man......

but I dont see paying a pitcher 20 mil a year……..when the last two years he’s missed a good amount of time with injuries……..

I’d say we offer him 15 mil a year for 4 years………and throw in some incentives for innings pitched/games won/K’s whatever……that could get him up into that 20mil a year range.

Let him go...

We got other pitching and at his asking price, i dunno if its worth it. Let me REMIND people the guy has started the two seasons in a row on the DL.

Here's an interesting secondary question...

If you had to choose between John Lackey and Doc Halladay, who would you take? I believe the Doc is a few years older than Big John, and I assume he will be seeking CC Sabathia-type money. Lackey will possibly be a little bit cheaper but not much. …My heart says go for Lackey because he is one of the last remaining connections to our ’02 ring and he is obviously a great teammate and an awesome pitcher, but my head says Halladay because the guy is quite simply the most dominant starting pitcher in the gamre today. What do you think? Is this even a reasonable conversation to be having? Is it a foregone conclusion that Halladay (and maybe both Halladay and Lackey) will end up in pinstripes?

is halladay a FA next year?

cuz if he isnt then why ask this question….?

i dunno... i'm really torn

i’d love to think he’s invincible and one of the best pitchers in the game, but he’s really not. he’s a very, very good pitcher, but not one of the most dominant (save for 2007). he’s started 2 season in a row on the DL with arm issues… that’s not something you want to commit $20MM/yr to.

2010...

…but the Jays are supposedly entertaining early trade offers to maximize the value they get in return. I would think that a team that took him in a trade would try to make the deal contingent on signing him to an extension.

Yeah, ask the Angels how that worked out with Mark Teixeira.

I read yesterday

that the Angels offered ceecee 140 mil last winter. I sure hope Lackey doesn’t hear about that.

Well, now he did...

Thanks a lot…

no he definitely did and i remember him saying something to the press...

that alluded to wanting similar money. Thing is, Lackey has been injured two years in a row. That doesn’t make ball clubs want to offer big money.

Lackey needs to prove it before I would give him another dime beyond this season.

mattwelch posts some of the best posts and states this subject far better than I do… Lackey Not So Thunderous

That said…Nick’s death may have cinched whether we are forced to be a player in the sweepstakes.

Lackey is 30 years old and has won > 14 games ONCE in his career. I don’t think that makes him worth $20M. Sorry John.

uh...NO...your facts are wrong buddy...

Lackey has won 14 games twice (2004, 2005) and 19 games in 2007.

Check your STATS

I think k3 meant

that only once has he won more than 14 games.

ah, i automatically assume 14 or more. Still, its a dumb thing to look at....

For it can often have nothing to do with how he pitched. For example, Lackey pitched a CG last year but loss. How many runs did he give up? One—a home run in the bottom of the ninth.

Or how about the game Greinke lost against us for giving up one run on three hits or something? You need to look at more than just how many W’s he has had.

i wanted to save these words till after last nites game.

The points you have made about Lackey’s past years are good commendable points. And I know it’s only been four starts, but after four starts last year we were stoked because big John was back. As of right this very moment, I would rather have Matt Palmer pitching every fifth day then to have Lackey take the hill.

Last year at this time his ERA was around 2, right now hes at 6.05.

didnt mean to post so quick

Everything seems close to average for him except for his k/9 is down and his h/9 are up. I understand that it is still early in the season, but if this trend continues over the next couple starts, I will unable to see it getting better

If he gets Burnett money than NO
OT kinda

Jason Vargas graduated from the same high school as me.
and there’s your fun fact for the day.

Any relation to Circus Vargas?

Ah, I see… he’s from Road Apple Valley; aren’t you up in the High Tundra?

Payroll capacity

A number of Angels players will be free agents after this season. As such this will open up payroll capacity. (2009 salary info sourced from espn.com)

Vladimir Guerrero……….$15 million
Kelvim Escobar…………$10 million
John Lackey……………..$10 million
Chone Figgins…………..$5.775 million
Bobby Abreu……………..$5 million

TOTAL : $45.775 million

The flexibility in payroll after this season provides the Angels with some interesting options as they will have the means to make offers to premier players. If the Angels cannot or choose not to re-sign any of the above players listed, I’d like them to aggressively pursue:

Jason Bay (career .282/.377/.522)
Nick Johnson (career .274/.399/.457)

NOTE: neither player is a Scott Boras client

You can review the complete free agent list here

Nick Johnson can never stay on the field

i’d take my chances with Bay or maybe even Adam LaRoche

No to Johnson

We have Morales at 1st.

I would make a run at Bay if we can.

He'll want a better deal than Burnett

Assuming he doesn’t suck this year he can make the valid argument that he’s a better pitcher who’s less of an injury risk, although he can’t realistically put himself in the Sabathia class.

What he wants and what he gets will likely be different

Being injured in his walk year likely means he can’t manipulate the market like other players did this year.

I’d go 4 years, $56m base. Player option for a 5th year based upon year four performance.

I concur, but think this is now his ceiling.

We still have an economy to consider. Still have market realities (which I bookmark because I keep re-reading that thread and believing the contents more and more).

And, unfortunately for John, all baseball games still come with a 5th inning.

Like most of our major free agents the last 5 years or so

Im already considering Big John gone

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